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News@lemmy.worldEnglish · 2 days ago

Harris Election Betting Odds Rise To Weekly High—But Trump Still Market’s Favorite

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Harris Election Betting Odds Rise To Weekly High—But Trump Still Market’s Favorite

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News@lemmy.worldEnglish · 2 days ago

Prediction markets give Trump higher odds of victory than poll-based models with the election four days out.

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2 days ago
Question. Considering Trump is not going to win the popular vote… couldn’t you just arbitrage these odds. Kamala +145 to 170 (depending on the day) Republican win president, Democrat win popular vote +225 to 240?

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