Shorting the market requires precise timing. Being early is just as bad as being wrong.

Exactly. It is not enough to know that a company stock will go down. It is necessary to know that it will never go higher than a certain point above the current value (not even momentarily) before it goes down. If you have a fuckload of other people’s money you can just keep double-or-nothing-ing it, that’s what banks were doing to gamestop, except that this can sometimes cause the stock to go even higher (a short squeeze), which would make you (who doesn’t actually have a fuckload of other people’s money) lose all of your money.

edit: also the other concerning possibility is that stock prices can go up simply due to the dollar going down.

The only thing that is allowed to tell good art from slop is the AI which needs to consume good art and not slop.

And yet you are the one person here who is equating Mexicans and Black people with machines. People with disabilities, too, huh. Lemme guess next time we’re pointing and laughing at how some hyped-up “PhD level chatbot” can’t count the Es in dingleberry, you’ll be likening that to ableism.

When you’re attempting to humanize machines by likening the insults against machines to insults against people, this does more to dehumanize people than to humanize machines.

edit: Also I never seen and couldn’t find instances of “wireback” being used outside pro-bot sentiments and hand-wringing about how anti bot people are akhtually racist. Had you, or is it all second or third hand? It’s entirely possible that it is something botlickers (can I say that or is that not OK?) came up with.

edit: especially considering that these “anti-robot slurs” seem to originate in scifi stories where the robots are being oppressed, whereby the author is purposefully choosing that slur to undermine the position of anti robot characters in the story. It may well be that for the same reason that author has in choosing these slurs, they are rarely used (in the earnest).

To be honest, hand wringing over “clanker” being a slur and all that strikes me as increasingly equivalent to hand wringing over calling nazis nazis. The only thing that rubs me the wrong way is that I’d prefer the new so called slur to be “chatgpt”, genericized and negative connotated.

If you are in the US, we’ve had our health experts replaced with AI, see the “MAHA report”. We’re one moron AI-pilled president away from a less fun version of Skynet, whereby a chatbot talks the president into launching nukes and kills itself along with a few billion people.

Complaints about dehumanizing these things is even more meritless than a CEO complaining that someone is dehumanizing Exxon (which is at least made of people).

These things are extension of those in power, not some marginalized underdogs like cute robots in scifi. As an extension of corporations, it already got more rights than any human - imagine what would happen to a human participant in a criminal conspiracy to commit murder and contrast that with what happens when a chatbot talks someone into a crime.

lmao: they have fixed this issue, it seems to always run python now. Got to love how they just put this shit in production as “stable” Gemini 2.5 pro with that idiotic multiplication thing that everyone knows about, and expect what? to Eliza Effect people into marrying Gemini 2.5 pro?

Thing is, it has tool integration. Half of the time it uses python to calculate it. If it uses a tool, that means it writes a string that isn’t shown to the user, which runs the tool, and tool results are appended to the stream.

What is curious is that instead of request for precision causing it to use the tool (or just any request to do math), and then presence of the tool tokens causing it to claim that a tool was used, the requests for precision cause it to claim that a tool was used, directly.

Also, all of it is highly unnatural texts, so it is either coming from fine tuning or from training data contamination.

Hmm, fair point, it could be training data contamination / model collapse.

It’s curious that it is a lot better at converting free form requests for accuracy, into assurances that it used a tool, than into actually using a tool.

And when it uses a tool, it has a bunch of fixed form tokens in the log. It’s a much more difficult language processing task to assure me that it used a tool conditionally on my free form, indirect implication that the result needs to be accurate, than to assure me it used a tool conditionally on actual tool use.

The human equivalent to this is “pathological lying”, not “bullshitting”. I think a good term for this is “lying sack of shit”, with the “sack of shit” specifying that “lying” makes no claim of any internal motivations or the like.

edit: also, testing it on 2.5 flash, it is quite curious: https://g.co/gemini/share/ea3f8b67370d . I did that sort of query several times and it follows the same pattern: it doesn’t use a calculator, it assures me the result is accurate, if asked again it uses a calculator, if asked if the numbers are equal it says they are not, if asked which one is correct it picks the last one and argues that the last one actually used a calculator. I hadn’t ever managed to get it to output a correct result and then follow up with an incorrect result.

edit: If i use the wording of “use an external calculator”, it gives a correct result, and then I can’t get it to produce an incorrect result to see if it just picks the last result as correct, or not.

I think this is lying without scare quotes, because it is a product of Google putting a lot more effort into trying to exploit Eliza effect to convince you that it is intelligent, than into actually making an useful tool. It, of course, doesn’t have any intent, but Google and its employees do.

Pretentious is a fine description of the writing style. Which actual humans fine tune.

The other interesting thing is that if you try it a bunch of times, sometimes it uses the calculator and sometimes it does not. It, however, always claims that it used the calculator, unless it didn’t and you tell it that the answer is wrong.

I think something very fishy is going on, along the lines of them having done empirical research and found that fucking up the numbers and lying about it makes people more likely to believe that gemini is sentient. It is a lot weirder (and a lot more dangerous, if someone used it to calculate things) than “it doesn’t have a calculator” or “poor LLMs cant do math”. It gets a lot of digits correct somehow.

Frankly this is ridiculous. They have a calculator integrated in the google search. That they don’t have one in their AIs feels deliberate, particularly given that there’s a plenty of LLMs that actually run calculator almost all of the time.

edit: lying that it used a calculator is rather strange, too. Humans don’t say “code interpreter” or “direct calculator” when asked to multiply two numbers. What the fuck is a “direct calculator”? Why is it talking about “code interpreter” and “direct calculator” conditionally on there being digits (I never saw it say that it used a “code interpreter” when the problem wasn’t mathematical), rather than conditional on there being a [run tool] token outputted earlier?

The whole thing is utterly ridiculous. Clearly for it to say that it used a “code interpreter” and a “direct calculator” (what ever that is), it had to be fine tuned to say that. Consequently to a bunch of numbers, rather than consequently to a [run tool] thing it uses to run a tool.

edit: basically, congratulations Google, you have halfway convinced me that an “artificial lying sack of shit” is possible after all. I don’t believe that tortured phrases like “code interpreter” and a “direct calculator” actually came from the internet.

These assurances - coming from an “AI” - seem like they would make the person asking the question be less likely to double check the answer (and perhaps less likely to click the downvote button), In my book this would qualify them as a lie, even if I consider LLM to not be any more sentient than a sack of shit.

Try asking my question to Google gemini a bunch of times, sometimes it gets it right, sometimes it doesn’t. Seems to be about 50/50 but I quickly ran out of free access.

And google is planning to replace their search (which includes a working calculator) with this stuff. So it is absolutely the case that there’s a plan to replace one of the world’s most popular calculators, if not the most popular, with it.

The funny thing is, even though I wouldn’t expect it to be, it is still a lot more arithmetically sound than what ever is it that is going on with it claiming to use a code interpreter and a calculator to double check the result.

It is OK (7 out of 12 correct digits) at being a calculator and it is awesome at being a lying sack of shit.

Yeah plenty of opportunities to just work it into the story.

I dunno what kind of local models you can use, though. If it is a 3D game then its fine to require a GPU, but you wouldn’t want to raise minimum requirements too high. And you wouldn’t want to use 12 gigs of vram for a gimmick, either.

I think it could work as a minor gimmick, like terminal hacking minigame in fallout. You have to convince the LLM to tell you the password, or you get to talk to a demented robot whose brain was fried by radiation exposure, or the like. Relatively inconsequential stuff like being able to talk your way through or just shoot your way through.

Unfortunately this shit is too slow and too huge to embed a local copy of, into a game. You need a lot of hardware compatibility. And running it in the cloud would cost too much.