Pro@programming.dev to Technology@lemmy.worldEnglish · 2 days agoWhat If There’s No AGI?prospect.orgexternal-linkmessage-square99fedilinkarrow-up1141arrow-down15file-textcross-posted to: Technology@programming.dev
arrow-up1136arrow-down1external-linkWhat If There’s No AGI?prospect.orgPro@programming.dev to Technology@lemmy.worldEnglish · 2 days agomessage-square99fedilinkfile-textcross-posted to: Technology@programming.dev
minus-squarepanda_abyss@lemmy.calinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up23·2 days agoIf we make this graph in 100 years almost nothing modern like hybrid cars, dvds, etc. will be in it. Just like this graph excludes a ton of improvements in metallurgy that enabled the steam engine.
minus-squareanomnom@sh.itjust.workslinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up2·19 hours agoThere’s also no reason for it to be a smooth curve, it looks more like a series if steps with varying flat spots between them in my head. And we are terrible at predicting how long a flat spot will be between improvements.
If we make this graph in 100 years almost nothing modern like hybrid cars, dvds, etc. will be in it.
Just like this graph excludes a ton of improvements in metallurgy that enabled the steam engine.
There’s also no reason for it to be a smooth curve, it looks more like a series if steps with varying flat spots between them in my head.
And we are terrible at predicting how long a flat spot will be between improvements.